Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003767 0.003950 0.004138 0.004344 0.004566 0.004796 0.005055
2025-11-02 0.003428 0.003698 0.003985 0.004314 0.004683 0.005086 0.005560
2025-11-09 0.003276 0.003603 0.003961 0.004384 0.004875 0.005428 0.006104
2025-11-16 0.003101 0.003461 0.003864 0.004351 0.004930 0.005601 0.006446
2025-11-23 0.002972 0.003360 0.003800 0.004345 0.005005 0.005790 0.006808
2025-11-30 0.002833 0.003236 0.003701 0.004284 0.005006 0.005882 0.007046
2025-12-07 0.002717 0.003131 0.003616 0.004235 0.005013 0.005976 0.007284
2025-12-14 0.002634 0.003062 0.003571 0.004228 0.005069 0.006129 0.007601
2025-12-21 0.002504 0.002930 0.003441 0.004109 0.004974 0.006081 0.007645
2025-12-28 0.002446 0.002885 0.003416 0.004119 0.005044 0.006249 0.007986
2026-01-04 0.002409 0.002862 0.003417 0.004161 0.005156 0.006474 0.008417
2026-01-11 0.002342 0.002799 0.003365 0.004132 0.005169 0.006564 0.008658
2026-01-18 0.002281 0.002744 0.003321 0.004112 0.005195 0.006674 0.008936
2026-01-25 0.002221 0.002687 0.003273 0.004084 0.005208 0.006765 0.009192
2026-02-01 0.002203 0.002683 0.003294 0.004149 0.005352 0.007048 0.009751
2026-02-08 0.002148 0.002630 0.003246 0.004118 0.005358 0.007130 0.010004
2026-02-15 0.002106 0.002591 0.003218 0.004112 0.005398 0.007263 0.010343
2026-02-22 0.002047 0.002529 0.003156 0.004056 0.005364 0.007281 0.010494
2026-03-01 0.001995 0.002475 0.003102 0.004010 0.005341 0.007315 0.010674
2026-03-08 0.001960 0.002442 0.003077 0.004003 0.005376 0.007438 0.011007
2026-03-15 0.001889 0.002359 0.002981 0.003893 0.005252 0.007307 0.010899
2026-03-22 0.001863 0.002338 0.002970 0.003903 0.005308 0.007463 0.011295
2026-03-29 0.001849 0.002331 0.002978 0.003942 0.005411 0.007695 0.011840